Tuesday, June 24, 2008

Barack Obama South Florida Zogby Poll

Via Sinfonian: Barack Obama holds a 46 to 30 lead in the lates South Florida Zogby poll.


''Obama's 16-point lead in South Florida could springboard him to make it a competitive race statewide,'' said pollster John Zogby. ``I really think Florida is in play.''


Two months ago, I didn't think Obama had a chance in Florida. The Panhandle bleeds red. Where Obama is going to have to concentrate is the I-4 corridor. Hillsborough and Polk counties are along the interstate. If Obama wins South Florida (which has many registered Democrats) and the I-4 corridor then he wins the election. The Panhandle is more sparsely populated than South Florida. That alone will not put McCain over the top.

Florida is a must-win for John McCain. The Obama campaign has hinted that winning Florida is not an absolute must. McCain will have a problem competing with Obama for television ad buys. The Obama can make McCain burn money that he could use elsewhere. McCain could still win Florida. But at a huge cost. McMaverick can not comete with the Obama fundraising machine.

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1 Comments:

At June 25, 2008 10:46 AM , Blogger AngryMan said...

I wouldn't even spend too much time in FL, just enough to keep McCain spending. FL is not a necessary state anymore since the Dems have finally got behind Dean and the 50 State Strategy.

 

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