Wednesday, November 07, 2012

Dean Chambers Admits He Was Wrong

President Barack Obama was elected to a second term. Dean Chambers predicted a Mitt Romney victory. In an interview with Bussiness Insider, Chambers admits he prediction was wrong.

"Nate Silver was right, and I was wrong," Chambers said in a phone interview.

Chambers note believes their was more Democratic momentum.

"I think it was much more in the Democratic direction than most people predicted," Chambers said. "But those assumptions — my assumptions — were wrong."

What happened was that the Obama campaign's ground game was excellent. In many parts of the country the Obama campaign surpassed their 2008 turnout. If Team Romney actually took their ground game seriously Mitt Romney would be the president-elect. Instead, Romney dragged his party down ob ballots across the country. Mitt Romney was the best thing to ever happen to Barack Obama. Romney is the worst Republican candidate since Bob Dole.

Chambers takes Scott Rasmussen's polling to task.

"He has lost a lot of credibility, as far as I'm concerned," Chambers said. "He did a lot of surveys. A lot of those surveys were wrong." "He has lost a lot of credibility, as far as I'm concerned," Chambers said. "He did a lot of surveys. A lot of those surveys were wrong."

Rasmussen's credibility was shot long before last night.

Side note: I will give Chambers credit for admitting he was wrong. We aren't about to see a confession from Dick Morris anytime soon.

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Sunday, February 19, 2012

Quote of the Day

"If the economy continues to improve consistently between now and November, President Obama will be re-elected."

Republican pollster Scott Rasmussen, to a booing crowd at the Manatee Republican Party's Lincoln Day dinner.

Of course the crowd is booing at hearing that Obama could be re-elected. However, it isn't smart to boo at good economic news.

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Saturday, June 05, 2010

Quote of the Day

"Remember, Rasmussen has two modes -- the narrative setting mode, which he's used to great effect this year to fuel the "Democrats are doomed" narrative, and the "get it right" mode he uses the closer we actually get to the actual election. Well, we are not that close to November yet, but apparently he felt threatened by having such massive outliers vis a vis other pollsters. So he rushed new polling more in line with the composite treandlines.

"It is kind of hard to set narratives when you become a laughingstock in the political world."

Markos Moulitsas, founder of Daily Kos

Pollster.com also noticed how Rasmussen suddenly adjusted his poll numbers. Political followers have long known that Rasmussen's robo-calling polling has been notibly unreliable. (The best polling is one-one one interaction.) Rasmussen admits to wording questions a certainly way to make news. Rasmussen has written for the right-wing conspiarcy nuthouse known as WorldNetDaily and wrote a book arguing for the privatization of Social Security. To say that Rasmussen isn't running agenda driven polling is believable as suggesting the goal of Daily Kos is to get Republicans elected.

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