Nate Silver Predicts Sink Has 63.8 Percent Chance of Winning

Pollster Nate Silver has upgraded Alex Sink's chances of winning to 63.8 percent. Silver used 100,000 simulations to come to this conclusion. Note: this is not poll numbers. Silver is merely predicting what Sink's chances of winning are.

Rick Scott's problem is his based is soft. Scott was fortunate enough to run against Bill McCollum. Scott is now running against a candidate that has more support with the base and the establishment of the Democratic Party. Sink raised $525,000 the first ten days after the primary. Scott raised a less impressive $43,000. As Christine O'Donnell proved, the Tea Party is not a great source of fundraising. Another possible reason is people are more reluctant to give campaign contributions to a candidate as wealthy as Scott. Nevertheless, the difference in fundraising numbers should give Republicans concern about how much people like candidate Rick Scott.