Quinnipiac Presidential Poll

Barack Obama leads John McCain 50 - 41 percent, in the latest Quinnipiac poll.

Obama leads McCain with women and black voters. Obama is closing the gap with male voters. McCain leads by 47 to 44 percentwith male voters. That is within the 2.5 margin of error. McCain holds a more commanding 49 to 42 percent leads with male white voters.

The biggest surprise is Obama running even with McCain with 55 and older voters. Both are polling at 45 percent. 10 are undecided. If McCain loses older voters he loses the election.

Polls can change. The do create momentum for a campaign. Bad polling numbers will affect the morale of McCain's canpaign staff. Even Republicans are wondering what McCain is doing to make himself the frontrunner.

There is a reason Obama is campaigning in red states.

The Democrat gets 44 percent to the Republican's 47 percent in red states, which went Republican by more than 5 percent in 2004, and leads 50 - 39 percent in purple or swing states.

Obama has the money to campaign and buy television and radio ads all over the country. What the Obama campaign is attempting to do is shrink the map of states can win and make McCain spend money faster than he wants to. This isn't being a partisan blogger. McCain is in trouble. Other polls have been bad. Obama's polling numbers are getting better. What does McCain plan to do after Obama's big football stadium speech at the Democratic convention?