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Wednesday, October 17, 2007

Rubio Attempts Another Sales Tax Shift

Florida counties and municipalities increased property taxes because of tax cuts by Jeb Bush and the legislature that created less revenue for schools. Marco Rubio attempted to cut property taxes by creating one of the highest sales taxes in the country. He is now attempting to create a smaller version of that sales tax shift.


But after his speech, the House Policy and Budget Council voted to include a 1 cent sales tax increase in order to cut school property taxes by nearly $4-billion a year. The average property owners' tax bill would drop by 15 to 20 percent, Republicans said.


Rubio floated the idea earlier this year only to meet a roadblock in the Senate. Then, as now, senators view it as a tax increase, a regressive one at that.


It is a sales tax increase and will hurt poor people the most. Contrary to economic zenmasters such as Dennis Hastert and Grover Norquist, a national sales tax does not make up the differnce. Robert S. McIntyre broke down the bogus math of the Americans for Fair Taxation.


I was curious about how the group did its arithmetic, so I checked out its Web site--www.fairtax.org--and sent a note to the E-mail address to get further information about the group's calculations.


According to the group's figures, at 1995 levels a new sales tax would have to raise $1.36 trillion to replace all Federal income taxes, payroll taxes and estate and gift taxes. Under its plan, the group says, taxable spending would be $4.6 trillion (after accounting for rebates to partly protect lower-income families).So, $1.36 trillion divided by $4.6 trillion would be the required sales tax rate. Fine, except that $1.36 trillion divided by $4.6 trillion is not 23 percent. It's about 30 percent.


It turns out that the group's purported 23 percent tax rate is misleading and hypothetical. It came up with that number by dividing the sales tax by the cost of a purchase plus the tax. So if the tax on a $100 purchase is $30, the group prefers to call it a 23 percent "tax inclusive rate" ($30 divided by $130). Ever hear of computing a sales tax like that?


The fact that the group's sales tax, even by its own figures, entails a 30 percent tax rate is only the beginning of the math problems. The group's backup materials also assert that almost a third of its projected sales-tax revenue is supposed to come from taxes the Government will pay to itself. Build a road, pay yourself a tax. Buy some planes for the Air Force, pay yourself some more. And so on.


Unfortunately, that shell game won't work. Without these phantom governmental tax payments, the sales tax rate would have to jump to 42 percent to break even.


Conservative love sales taxes as the answer to all ails. Unfortunately, sales taxes by themselves can fund very little. Unless, people want to pay a nearly 50 percent tax for shopping items. How is that not regressive?

4 comments:

  1. According to the group's figures, at 1995 levels a new sales tax would have to raise $1.36 trillion ... Under its plan, the group says, taxable spending would be $4.6 trillion... So, $1.36 trillion divided by $4.6 trillion would be the required... It's about 30 percent.

    I think that the $4.6 trillion that would be taxable probably isn't there anyway. The way they are selling it, if you buy a new car, you owe sales tax (30%?!) on it. If you buy a used car, 0% tax. I see a problem right there. And I'm assuming on new property as well. Pay tax on "new" shares, but not already traded shares? Watch out IPOs!

    I haven't seen a list of what is taxable, nor have I seen a list of what wouldn't be taxable outside of those guidelines.

    I just don't get fairtax.org

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  2. While many who are invested in the current income tax system seek to demagog the well-researched FairTax plan, FairTax's theoretical underpinnings have been professionally reviewed, and its acceptance in the professional / academic community continues to grow.

    Renown economist Laurence Kotlikoff believes that failure to enact the FairTax - choosing instead to try to "flatten" what he deems to be a non-flattenable income tax system - will eventuate into an irrevocable economic meltdown, because of the hidden aspects of the current system that make political accountability impossible. Tom Frey, of the DiVinci Institute, foresees the coming collapse of the income tax system.

    Here is why the FairTax MUST replace the income tax. It's:

    • SIMPLE, easy to understand
    • EFFICIENT, inexpensive to comply with and doesn't cause less-than-optimal business decisions for tax minimization purposes
    • FAIR, loophole free and everyone pays their share
    • LOW TAX RATE, achieved by broad base with no exclusions
    • PREDICTABLE, doesn't change, so financial planning is possible
    • UNINTRUSIVE, doesn't intrude into our personal affairs or limit our liberty
    • VISIBLE, not hidden from the public in tax-inflated prices or otherwise
    • PRODUCTIVE, rewards, rather than penalizes, work and productivity


    Its benefits are as follows:

    For INDIVIDUALS:
    • No more tax on income - make as much as you wish
    • You receive your full paycheck - no more deductions
    • You pay the tax when you buy "at retail" - not "used"
    • No more double taxation (e.g. like on current Capital Gains)
    • Reduction of "pre-FairTaxed" retail prices by 20%-30%
    • Adding back 29.85% FairTax maintains current price levels
    • FairTax would constitute 23% portion of new prices
    • Every household receives a monthly check, or "pre-bate"
    • "Prebate" is "advance payback" for taxes payable on monthly consumption to poverty level
    • FairTax's "prebate" ensures progressivity, poverty protection
    • Finally, citizens are knowledgeable of what their tax IS
    • Elimination of "parasitic" Income Tax industry
    • NO MORE IRS. NO MORE FILING OF TAX RETURNS by individuals
    • Those possessing illicit forms of income will ALSO pay the FairTax
    • Households have more disposable income to purchase goods
    • Savings is bolstered with reduction of interest rates


    For BUSINESSES:
    • Corporate income and payroll taxes revoked under FairTax
    • Business compensated for collecting tax at "cash register"
    • No more tax-related lawyers, lobbyists on company payrolls
    • No more embedded (hidden) income/payroll taxes in prices
    • Reduced costs. Competition - not tax policy - drives prices
    • Off-shore "tax haven" headquarters can now return to U.S
    • No more "favors" from politicians at expense of taxpayers
    • Resources go to R&D and study of competition - not taxes
    • Marketplace distortions eliminated for fair competition
    • US exports increase their share of foreign markets


    For the COUNTRY:
    • 7% - 13% economic growth projected in the first year of the FairTax
    • Jobs return to the U.S.
    • Foreign corporations "set up shop" in the U.S.
    • Tax system trends are corrected to "enlarge the pie"
    • Larger economic "pie," means thinner tax rate "slices"
    • Initial 23% portion of price is pressured downward as "pie" increases
    • No more "closed door" tax deals by politicians and business
    • FairTax sets new global standard. Other countries will follow


    It's well past time to scrap the tax code and pay for government the way that America's working men and women are paid - when something is sold.


    (Permission is granted to reproduce in whole or part. - Ian)

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  3. Oh and I'd like to thank Michael for his continuing exposure of dark-opie-marco-rubio's antics... what is that guy TWELVE????

    and this fair tax idiocy.

    Good coverage.

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  4. (Well, I guess you have a thing for the Masons and the Scientologists. Me? I'm just a guy who doesn't make a lot of money, who once employed others, but now spends most of his time living frugally, and making a paycheck commensurate with this chosen lifestyle.)

    There is no reasonable equity of distribution under the current INCOME tax system. What's more, the Tax Code has become a "tinkerer's paradise" for 53% of the lobbyists who game it in Washington DC. It's a lucrative business, and the U.S. TAXPAYER pays for ALL of it in higher prices (i.e., a hidden tax which is incomprehensible to the average working person).

    Prices after FairTax passage would look similar to prices before FairTax - not "30% higher" as opponents contend - competition would see to it. So, the FairTax rate (figured as an income-tax-rate-non-comparative, sales tax) on new items would be 29.85% (on the new, reduced cost of items because business isn't taxed under FairTax - thus lowering retail prices by 20% to 30%), or 23% of the "tax inclusive" price tag - this is the way INCOME TAX is figured (parts of the total dollar).

    The effective tax rate percentages, that different income groups would pay under the FairTax, are calculated by crediting the monthly "prebate" (advance rebate of projected tax on necessities) against total monthly spending of citizen families (1 member and greater, Dept. of HHS poverty-level data; a single person receiving ~$200/mo, a family of four, ~$500/mo, in addition to working earners receiving paychecks with no Federal deductions) Prof.'s Kotlikoff and Rapson (10/06) concluded,

    "...the FairTax imposes much lower average taxes on working-age households than does the current system. The FairTax broadens the tax base from what is now primarily a system of labor income taxation to a system that taxes, albeit indirectly, both labor income and existing wealth. By including existing wealth in the effective tax base, much of which is owned by rich and middle-class elderly households, the FairTax is able to tax labor income at a lower effective rate and, thereby, lower the average lifetime tax rates facing working-age Americans.

    "Consider, as an example, a single household age 30 earning $50,000. The household’s average tax rate under the current system is 21.1 percent. It’s 13.5 percent under the FairTax. Since the FairTax would preserve the purchasing power of Social Security benefits and also provide a tax rebate, older low-income workers who will live primarily or exclusively on Social Security would be better off. As an example, the average remaining lifetime tax rate for an age 60 married couple with $20,000 of earnings falls from its current value of 7.2 percent to -11.0 percent under the FairTax. As another example, compare the current 24.0 percent remaining lifetime average tax rate of a married age 45 couple with $100,000 in earnings to the 14.7 percent rate that arises under the FairTax."

    Further, per Jokischa and Kotlikoff (circa 2006?) ...

    "...once one moves to generations postdating the baby boomers there are positive welfare gains for all income groups in each cohort. Under a 23 percent FairTax policy, the poorest members of the generation born in 1990 enjoy a 13.5 percent welfare gain. Their middle-class and rich contemporaries experience 5 and 2 percent welfare gains, respectively. The welfare gains are largest for future generations. Take the cohort born in 2030. The poorest members of this cohort enjoy a huge 26 percent improvement in their well-being. For middle class members of this birth group, there's a 12 percent welfare gain. And for the richest members of the group, the gain is 5 percent."

    It's well past time to scrap the tax code and pay for government the way that America's working men and women are paid - when something is sold.

    (Permission is granted to reproduce in whole or part. - Ian)

    ReplyDelete